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Calculated Risk: GDP Tracking: Q1 Boosted Slightly

by Calculated Risk on 2/23/2024 11:43:00 AM From BofA: On net, this week’s data boosted our 1Q US GDP tracking estimate by a tenth to 1.0% q/q saar. Our 4Q tracking estimate also increased by a tenth to 3.2% q/q saar [Feb 23rd estimate]emphasis added From Goldman: We boosted our Q1 GDP tracking estimate by

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Calculated Risk: GDP Tracking: Q1 Moving Down

by Calculated Risk on 2/16/2024 01:21:00 PM From BofA: Overall, this left our 1Q US GDP tracking estimate, which kicks off with today’s print at 0.9% q/q saar, one-tenth below our official forecast. Our 4Q tracking estimate declined by three-tenths to 3.1% q/q saar. [Feb 16th comment]emphasis added From Goldman: We lowered our Q1 GDP

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Calculated Risk: Friday: Housing Starts, PPI

by Calculated Risk on 2/15/2024 07:11:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Friday:• At 8:30 AM ET, Housing Starts for January. The consensus is for 1.470 million SAAR, up from 1.460 million SAAR. • Also at 8:30 AM, The Producer Price Index for January from the BLS. The

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Calculated Risk: Tuesday: CPI

by Calculated Risk on 2/12/2024 07:39:00 PM From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Steady to Slightly Lower Ahead of Big Inflation Report After spiking to the highest levels in over a month last Monday, rates have held eerily steady. To be fair, the steadiness started the following day after a moderate recovery

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Calculated Risk: Sunday Night Futures

by Calculated Risk on 2/11/2024 11:23:00 PM Weekend:• Schedule for Week of February 11, 2024 Monday:• No major economic releases scheduled. From CNBC: Pre-Market Data and Bloomberg futures S&P 500 and DOW futures are mostly unchanged (fair value). Oil prices were up over the last week with WTI futures at $76.84 per barrel and Brent

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Calculated Risk: Feb 9th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased

by Calculated Risk on 2/09/2024 07:16:00 PM Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios. Due to changes at the CDC, weekly cases are no longer updated. For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly. Hospitalizations have almost quadrupled from

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